Real People Aggregating Signals: An Experiment and a Short Story

Speaker
Professor Ariel Rubinstein
Date
21/11/2022 - 12:30 - 11:00Add To Calendar 2022-11-21 11:00:00 2022-11-21 12:30:00 Real People Aggregating Signals: An Experiment and a Short Story A decision maker observes multiple signals about an event. He has information about the frequency of the event given each individual signal and wishes to update his beliefs about the event. We examine the problem experimentally and identify some of the commonly used procedures for signal aggregation.These procedures are for the most part inconsistent with Bayesian updating. We apply some of these procedures to a well-known panel game that has previously been studied under the standard Bayesian assumptions and find that the properties of the equilibria differ significantly. KEYWORDS : signal aggregation, experimental economics, voting game JEL classification: C9, D70, D80 Economics Building (Number 504). Room 011 אוניברסיטת בר-אילן - Department of Economics Economics.Dept@mail.biu.ac.il Asia/Jerusalem public
Place
Economics Building (Number 504). Room 011
Affiliation
School of Economics, Tel Aviv University and Department of Economics, New York University
Abstract


A decision maker observes multiple signals about an event. He has information about the frequency of the event given each individual signal and wishes to update his beliefs about the event. We examine the problem experimentally and identify some of the commonly used procedures for signal aggregation.These procedures are for the most part inconsistent with Bayesian updating. We apply some of these procedures to a well-known
panel game that has previously been studied under the standard Bayesian assumptions and find that the properties of the equilibria differ significantly.


KEYWORDS : signal aggregation, experimental economics, voting game JEL classification: C9, D70, D80

Attached file

Last Updated Date : 17/11/2022